#EURef – And Now For Something Completely Different.

This is an entirely personal post, and in no way reflective of ShemWorld as a team. It’s a post I put together to explain my reasons for voting as I’ve chosen to vote, for a friend; and with the work I put in, and due to the fact I may be asked more than once today, it seemed logical to put it together as a post.

After this, we will be back to our scheduled topics.

I believe the EU is a failed project as it stands. The two options being marketed are “Status quo” or “Leave”, which seems to be disingenuous when it’s clear that the measures we’ve had agreed in the past have been to temporarily allow for us to be “behind” the rest of the EU on integration.

Agreeing to Remain will be seen as an agreement to continued integration into a system where there is no* link between the voting populace, and the politicians. The EU has made it clear that continued integration would be the path they choose to follow.

(* Yes, there is a link. It’s not particular well implemented, is it?)

Jean-Claude Juncker, the President of the European Commission, is a very interesting character.

https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Jean-Claude_Juncker

“There can be no democratic choice against the European treaties”

“We decide on something, leave it lying around and wait and see what happens. If no one kicks up a fuss, because most people don’t understand what has been decided, we continue step by step until there is no turning back.”

“Monetary policy is a serious issue. We should discuss this in secret, in the Eurogroup […] I’m ready to be insulted as being insufficiently democratic, but I want to be serious […] I am for secret, dark debates.”

“Britain is different. Of course there will be transfers of sovereignty. But would I be intelligent to draw the attention of public opinion to this fact?”

Would I trust that gentleman to run the executive branch of 28 countries in an extremely convoluted “democratically elected ish” system?

No. Oddly. No.

Due to restrictions on migration from outside of the EU, and the requirement for trade negotiation to go through the EU, it seems to be quite a bottle neck in proceedings. We could steal a significant advantage, as a relatively large economy, by being nimble enough to do these things on our own. It seems that trying to find the best deal for 29 countries is unnecessarily complex vs attempting to find the best deal for any 2 countries.

The requirement to agree to unrestricted migration to and from the EU seems like a somewhat poor way of planning long term spending for publicly funded education and health systems.

I believe that a Leave vote would, at least cause a change of Cabinet, and at most require a general election, potentially leading to a more left-wing Government, at a time when a lot of laws and policies would need clarification, reexamination and re implementation.

I feel that Remain did not do a good job of explaining their thinking on the TTIP, and I’m especially concerned by Sir Richard Branson’s endorsements at a time when he’s buying up chunks of the NHS.

Today I became aware of Switzerland – in my humble opinion, the most emulate-able non-EU nation due to their levels services and financial markets, have opted to terminate their long-standing EU application. It is a project they no longer have an interest in joining. When I reflect over the EU, the number of nations that have seen our referendum, and are now considering referendums of their own, it seems clear to me that being the first to leave would be a better option than being the last to leave. Switzerland abandoned the pegging of the Swiss franc to the Euro in 2015; they seem only interested in access to the single market. It’s a kind of logic I can appreciate.

I see Leave as an opportunity. A massive opportunity. We have existing commonwealth relationships. We’d have the EU relationship, dependant on whatever reltionship we decided to seek. We would be uniquely positioned. In business, that’s often a very big deal. If we would go on to make the most of the opportunity, only time would tell. But judging our nation, looking back in history, we’ve often done well for ourselves.

I don’t see why this would be any different.

I’m also incredibly wary of anyone telling me there is only one clear option in this vote. The likely close-finish, and the fact that the assholes in power are well spread across the options, businesses are spread across the options, and politics are spread across the options… the only “incorrect” answer, is to state “There is only one option”. If you genuinely believe that, in my humble opinion, you’ve missed something – or indeed, a lot.

 

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